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JSE: SOL - SOLBE1 - Sasol publishes production and sales metrics for the three months ended 30 September 2018

Publication Date: 
Thursday, October 18, 2018

Sasol publishes production and sales metrics for the three months ended 30 September 2018

Sasol Limited
(Incorporated in the Republic of South Africa)
Registration number 1979/003231/06
Sasol Ordinary Share codes: JSE: SOL NYSE: SSL
Sasol Ordinary ISIN codes: ZAE000006896 US8038663006
Sasol BEE Ordinary Share code: JSE: SOLBE1
Sasol BEE Ordinary ISIN code: ZAE000151817
(Sasol or the Company)

SASOL PUBLISHES PRODUCTION AND SALES METRICS FOR THE THREE
MONTHS ENDED 30 SEPTEMBER 2018

Sasol has published its production and sales performance metrics for the three months
ended 30 September 2018 on the Company’s website at <Origin Href="Link">www.sasol.com, under the
Investor Centre section or via this URL: <Origin Href="Link">http://www.sasol.com/investor-centre/financial-
reporting/business-performance-metrics

Overview:

Sasol benefited from higher Brent crude oil and product prices during the quarter and a
weaker average rand exchange rate against major currencies. We have seen higher
productivity across most of our operations with an increased focus on safety, margins
and cost control.

Operating Business Units
Operationally, our mining operations are building momentum with increased productivity
over the past quarter and have fully restored the stock piles to above target levels.
External purchases have been significantly reduced and current indications are that
Mining will achieve the targeted production levels of 40 million tons for the full year. At
our Mozambican upstream operations, we delivered a robust production performance,
in line with expectations. We expect to achieve our production target of between 114 -
118 bscf for FY19.

Regional Operating Hubs
Turning to our regional operating hubs, we are seeing excellent production results from
our Natref operations following focused management interventions and capital
investments over the past few years. The run rates achieved over the past quarter
averaged 661m3/h, which builds of the average of the previous quarter of 600m3/h. We
are confident that this improved performance will continue over the ensuing months. In
Sasolburg, most of our plants completed the shutdowns within the planned time and
cost schedules. Our Eurasian operations continue to deliver on its planned production
targets. However, in Secunda, the planned full shutdown at our Sasol Secunda
Operations (SSO) West factory was longer than estimated mainly due to technical
issues with the Steam Header 2 project and challenges with start-up which further
delayed the commissioning date. The extended shutdown impacted our production and
sales volumes across the value chain. We are however confident that we will achieve
our planned production targets for the remainder of the year. The longer shutdown will
result in annual production guidance reducing to 7,5 – 7,6 million tons.

Strategic Business Units
Our Energy business is continuing to benefit from the higher oil price and largely
achieved our targeted liquid fuels sales volumes for the quarter, notwithstanding the
challenges experienced at SSO. This was enabled through improved production from
Natref. We are on track to achieve our previous market guidance sales of 57 – 58
million barrels for the year. ORYX GTL achieved a stellar operational performance,
achieving an average utilisation rate of 106%. The notable production rates coupled
with the high oil price bodes well for Sasols profitability. At Base Chemicals, we are
seeing higher chemical prices globally versus the comparable period and continue to
focus on margin expansion. In South Africa, we are on track achieve our target of 2 –
3% volumes increase despite the challenges at SSO. The high density polyethylene
(HDPE) plant in the US is expected to ramp up production during this financial year, and
we expect to achieve an average utilisation rate of 80 – 90% for the full year. HDPE
derivitisation enables additional value extraction from ethylene, which significantly
improves our US Base Chemicals average sales basket prices. Performance Chemicals
produced a solid set of sales volumes and margins overall are holding strong. We are
on track to achieve our previous market guidance of 2 – 4% volumes increase for the
full year.

Lake Charles Chemicals Project (LCCP)
We are making good progress with the project in Lake Charles and indications are that
the capital cost of the project will remain within the previous market guidance of
US$11,13 billion. As at end September 2018, the engineering and procurement were
substantially complete and the construction progress was at 75%. Steam reached
beneficial operation in August 2018. Overall project progress was 91% and capital
expenditure amounted to US$10,4 billion. More than 80% of our production will be
available in quarter one of calendar year 2019. Based on an ethane price of 28cpg, we
expected to deliver on our 2019 earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and
amortisation (EBITDA) guidance of US$250 million to US$300 million. However, given
current forecasted ethane prices, we expect EBITDA to average between $110 million
to $160 million using an ethane price 37cpg. The ethane price volatility will significantly
impact the EBITDA and is not within our control.

Conclusion
Overall, we have delivered a solid performance for the first quarter, except for the SSO
extended shutdown. Our operations are stable and delivering according to plan and we
are taking advantage of all opportunities to maximise margins. At this point, all
indications are that we will meet our revised production and sales targets for the year.
Our cost performance is within market guidance.

In line with Sasol’s updated strategy, we have reorganised the Chemical portfolio to
support our value-based growth strategy. Consequently, we have transferred the
Phenolics, Ammonia and Speciality Gases results from Performance Chemicals to Base
Chemicals, effective 1 July 2018. Management of the Ammonia and Speciality Gases is
housed in the Energy SBU. The metrics have been restated for the transfer.

Additional information on the company earnings and production guidance can be found
on the company’s website.

18 October 2018
Sandton

Sponsor: Deutsche Securities (SA) Proprietary Limited

Investor Relations:
Moveshen Moodley, Chief Investor Relations Officer
Telephone: +27 (0) 10 344 8052

Disclaimer - Forward-looking statements
Sasol may, in this document, make certain statements that are not historical facts and
relate to analyses and other information which are based on forecasts of future results
and estimates of amounts not yet determinable. These statements may also relate to
our future prospects, developments and business strategies. Examples of such forward-
looking statements include, but are not limited to, statements regarding exchange rate
fluctuations, volume growth, increases in market share, total shareholder return,
executing our growth projects (including LCCP), oil and gas reserves and cost
reductions, including in connection with our BPEP, RP and our business performance
outlook. Words such as “believe”, “anticipate”, “expect”, “intend, “seek”, “will”, “plan”,
“could”, “may”, “endeavour”, “target”, “forecast” and “project” and similar expressions
are intended to identify such forward-looking statements, but are not the exclusive
means of identifying such statements. By their very nature, forward-looking statements
involve inherent risks and uncertainties, both general and specific, and there are risks
that the predictions, forecasts, projections and other forward-looking statements will not
be achieved. If one or more of these risks materialise, or should underlying assumptions
prove incorrect, our actual results may differ materially from those anticipated. You
should understand that a number of important factors could cause actual results to differ
materially from the plans, objectives, expectations, estimates and intentions expressed
in such forward-looking statements. These factors are discussed more fully in our most
recent annual report on Form 20-F filed on 28 August 2018 and in other filings with the
United States Securities and Exchange Commission. The list of factors discussed
therein is not exhaustive; when relying on forward-looking statements to make
investment decisions, you should carefully consider both these factors and other
uncertainties and events. Forward-looking statements apply only as of the date on
which they are made, and we do not undertake any obligation to update or revise any of
them, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise.

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